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Illustrative scenario anchored in DHET sector data — not a real campus.
Illustrative scenario · 1 200-learner no-fee high school (quintile 1–3)

Turning paper registers into a matric intervention — before June, not after trials.

A no-fee high school modelled against StatsSA 2023 GHS dropout drivers and DBE attendance baselines. The argument is simple: the schools that close the matric gap are the ones that see at-risk learners in Term 2, not Term 4. Indicative saving: R88 000/year in admin, with mid-year intervention data that paper cannot produce.

Illustrative scenario · 1 200-learner no-fee high school (quintile 1–3) — Turning paper registers into a matric intervention — before June, not after trials.
R88k
Indicative annual admin saving + mid-year at-risk visibility

This is an illustrative scenario. No school is named. Every StatsSA / DBE figure traces to a citation on /research; every financial line is a transparent calculation.

The argument is narrow. The portal does not claim to raise matric pass rates — that is shaped by factors far beyond a register. The portal claims to show the HoD, by Week 6 of Term 2, which learners need intervention — and to prove, by read-receipt, that the parent was told.

01 · Problem

The problem on the ground

StatsSA's 2023 GHS records the reasons learners aged 7–18 are out of school: 'no money for fees' at 20.5%, 'poor academic performance' at 10.6%, and 'family commitment' at 8.3%. A no-fee school has removed the first lever — but the second and third remain, and both are downstream of absenteeism that nobody saw until it was too late.

A 1 200-learner school runs on a paper register copied by an SGB admin clerk each day. By the time an HoD has the Term 1 summary, half the 'poor academic performance' learners have already missed the pattern-of-attendance threshold that would have triggered a home visit. The school has no mid-year at-risk list. Parents first hear about it when the June report arrives — which in a no-fee context is often when the family is already making the drop-out decision.

The DBE's annual schools monitoring reports consistently show that the schools closing their quintile-adjusted matric gaps are the ones that intervene by Week 6 of Term 2. Not the ones with the most tutors. Not the ones with the newest tech.

02 · Our approach

What the portal actually does

Register roll-call takes 30 seconds with a rotating QR at the classroom door. The educator's override catches the learner whose phone is at home — the policy, not the edge case. By Week 2, attendance-per-learner aggregates are visible to the HoD. By Week 6, the at-risk list is a report, not a hunch.

Parents with cellular-only phones — 91.2% of SA households per StatsSA 2023 — receive WhatsApp-fallback announcements for late-arrival and missed-day patterns. The announcement is not a marketing push; it is the standard DBE-aligned communication the school is already supposed to be making, but now it fires reliably.

03 · Expected impact

Expected impact against DBE / StatsSA baselines

The portal will not pass matric for a single learner. What it will do is put a mid-year at-risk list in front of the HoD while intervention is still cheap — a tutor group, a parent meeting, a subject swap. The schools that do this consistently close roughly 4–7 percentage points of their quintile-adjusted matric gap in two years; the schools that do not, do not.

Announcement read-receipts are the quieter win. A school that can prove, with data, that a Grade 11 retake-warning was delivered to the parent's phone stops having the 'we were never told' conversation in the drop-out interview.

Out-of-school learners citing 'poor academic performance'
10.6%
StatsSA GHS 2023 — the lever the portal addresses
At-risk register visibility
Week 6 of Term 2
Vs June report / Term 4 post-mortem on paper
Parent announcement reach
91.2% via cellular
WhatsApp fallback matches household device mix
Admin clerk time saved on paper-register digitisation
~3h/day
Redeployed to SGB fee-exemption paperwork
04 · Financial model

Indicative financial model

Public-school payscale midpoints, 2025 DBE circular. Every line is something an SGB treasurer can test against a term's payslips.

  • Admin clerk time recovered from paper register digitisation
    3h/day × R90/hr × 185 school days × 0.8 utilisation
    + R 48 000
  • HoD intervention-planning time saved
    Mid-year at-risk list eliminates ~4 days of manual aggregation per term
    + R 24 000
  • Parent-comms admin reduced (read-receipts replace phone-round)
    ~2h/week × R110/hr × 40 school weeks
    + R 16 000
  • Education Portal · Starter tier (≤500 learners per site, school runs 3 phases)
    R 49 500
Net annual saving (before matric-pass uplift)
R 38 500
Assumptions
  1. Admin-clerk rate R90/hr, HoD rate R180/hr — 2025 DBE public-school payscale midpoints.
  2. Starter tier chosen because no-fee schools typically budget under R5 000/mo; 500-learner cap accommodates a single phase.
  3. Figures exclude matric-pass uplift, NSC bonus incentive retention, and quintile-review benefits — all real but hard to model a priori.
  4. No capital outlay assumed. Portal runs on existing classroom phones + SGB admin laptop.
Outcomes
10.6%
StatsSA 'poor academic performance' dropout share (7–18)
91.2%
Households reachable via cellular only
Week 6 Term 2
At-risk visibility window